Krivonos R.A., Yarosh R.A., Basankin A.V., Tikhonov S.V., Kaloshkina I.M., Omelchenko N.N.
Summary. Prediction of the development of the epizootic situation for some quarantine infectious diseases in Krasnodar region in 2020 is presented in the article. Risks of outbreaks of brucellosis, bovine leucose, African swine fever, rabies of animals of various species, ornithosis, tuberculosis, leptospirosis, bird flu, nodular cattle dermatitis and other diseases in various municipalities of Krasnodar region are assessed. The number of dysfunctional points, the number of cases of the disease, and the focal rate (focal incidence) for quarantine infectious diseases according to the data from 2009 to October 2019 are indicated. The dynamics of the number of dysfunctional points and the focal rate for some quarantine diseases for the next two years is presented by the authors. Seasonal occurrence, species structure and distribution of quarantine infectious diseases in Krasnodar region are described in comparison with the development of the epizootic situation in the Russian Federation, according to the data provided by the Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance. The territorial distribution of quarantine infections is displayed, with the division into risk zones for these diseases. The nosological structure of quarantine infectious diseases registered in Krasnodar region for the period from January 2009 to October 2019 is described. Data on prevalence of brucellosis, bovine leucose, rabies, African swine fever, bird flu, nodular dermatitis and other infectious diseases in the Russian Federation, according to data presented on the official website of the Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance, are given in the article.
Keywords: epizootic situation, development forecast, dysfunctional points, focal incidence, seasonality of diseases, territorial distribution, species structure, incidence, nosological structure, quarantine diseases, quarantine diseases, large horned cattle, small horned cattle, pigs, horses, dogs, cats, wild animals, poultry (birds).
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Krivonos Roman A., Ph.D. in Veterinary Medicine, Head of the Veterinary Department of Krasnodar region; 36, Rashpilevskaya st., Krasnodar, 350000; phone: 8-861-2621923; e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org.
Yarosh Roman A., Ph.D. in Veterinary Medicine, Deputy Head of the Veterinary Department of Krasnodar region; 36, Rashpilevskaya st., Krasnodar, 350000; phone: 8-861-2685603; e-mail: email@example.com.
Basankin Aleksey V., Ph.D. in Veterinary Medicine, deputy head of the department of organization of antiepizootic measures and treatment-and-prophylactic work of the Veterinary Department of Krasnodar region; 36, Rashpilevskaya st., Krasnodar, 350000; phone: 8-918-9550057; e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org.
Kaloshkina Inna M., Ph.D. in Veterinary Medicine, head of the department of antiparasitic, veterinary and sanitary measures of the Krasnodar regional station of fighting against animal diseases; 15/1, Kalinina st., Krasnodar, 350004; phone: 8-918-4656939; e-mail: email@example.com.
Omelchenko Nikolay N., Ph.D. in Veterinary Medicine, chief veterinarian of the department for prevention and elimination of infectious and non-communicable diseases with anti-epizootic squad of the Krasnodar regional station of fighting against animal diseases; 15/1, Kalinina st., Krasnodar, 350004; phone: 8-861-2216157; e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org.
Responsible for correspondence with the editorial board: Tikhonov Sergey V., Ph.D. in Biology, head of the department for prevention and elimination of infectious and non-communicable diseases with anti-epizootic squad of the Krasnodar regional station of fighting against animal diseases; 15/1, Kalinina st., Krasnodar, 350004; phone: 8-861-2216157; e-mail: email@example.com.